Stanford Probability Seminar
Mondays, 4:15 - 5:15pm (Refreshments at 4pm in the 1st floor lounge)
Sequoia Hall, Room 200
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Contact Christian Gromoll (gromoll@math.stanford.edu) for organizational matters


Schedule 2005 - 2006

Date Speaker Title
(click for abstract)
Comments
26 Sep No seminar
3 Oct Sasha Stolyar (Bell Labs) Maximizing queueing network utility subject to stability Dinner 
10 Oct Joe Blitzstein (Stanford) Generating random graphs with given degrees
17 Oct Milena Mihail (Georgia Tech) Performance and scaling in complex networks: A spectral approach Dinner
24 Oct Elizabeth Meckes (Stanford) Random matrices and infinitesimal rotations  
31 Oct Sharad Goel (Stanford) Estimating mixing times via the spectral profile
7 Nov Peter Mörters (Univ. of Bath) The universality classes in the parabolic Anderson model Dinner
14 Nov Paul Dupuis (Brown) Importance sampling and differential games Dinner 
21 Nov No seminar (Thanksgiving)  
28 Nov Amber Puha (CSU San Marcos) A reversible growth model on the homogeneous tree: some results and open questions Dinner
5 Dec Ben Hough (UC Berkeley) Large deviations for analytic functions with diffusing coefficients Dinner


Abstracts

Maximizing queueing network utility subject to stability (ps/pdf)

Sasha Stolyar (Bell Labs)

We study a model which accommodates a wide range of seemingly very different resource allocation problems in communication networks. Some examples: utility based congestion control of complex time-varying (wireless) networks, minimizing average power consumption in wireless networks, scheduling in wireless systems subject to power consumption and/or traffic rate constraints.

The model is a controlled queueing network, where controls have dual effect. In addition to determining exogenous customer arrival rates, service rates at the nodes, and (possibly random) routing of customers among the nodes, each control decision produces a certain vector of "commodities." The set of available control choices depends on the underlying random network mode. Network "utility" is a concave function of the vector of long-term average rates at which commodities are produced. The goal is maximize utility while keeping network queues stable. We introduce a very parsimonious dynamic control policy, called Greedy Primal-Dual algorithm, and prove its asymptotic optimality. Although the model is formulated in terms of a queueing network, the algorithm can be viewed as a dynamic mechanism for solving rather general convex optimization problems.
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Generating random graphs with given degrees (ps/pdf)

Joe Blitzstein (Stanford)

Random graphs with a given degree sequence are a useful model capturing several features absent in the classical model, such as dependent edges and non-binomial degrees. We use a characterization due to Erdos and Gallai to develop a sequential algorithm for generating a random labeled graph with a given degree sequence. The algorithm is easy to implement and use with sequential importance sampling. Applications such as studying a real-world food web and estimating the number of graphs with a given degree sequence are discussed. Joint work with Persi Diaconis.
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Performance and scaling in complex networks: A spectral approach (ps/pdf)

Milena Mihail (Georgia Tech)

The issue of performance scalability is of fundamental importance in complex communications networks. How does congestion scale on the Internet? At what rate do crawlers discover new web pages? Spectral graph theory is a powerful mathematical tool that helps characterize the performance of many algorithms when run on a particular graph. We use spectral graph theory to answer the above questions in several families of random graphs that model the Internet and the WWW.
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Random matrices and infinitesimal rotations (ps/pdf)

Elizabeth Meckes (Stanford)

A theme in studying random matrices from the classical groups is that Haar-distributed matrices are close to Gaussian matrices in many ways; one way is that linear functions of random orthogonal matrices are asymptotically normally distributed (as the dimension approaches infinity). I will discuss an infinitesimal version of Stein's method, introduced by Stein in 1995, which can be used to obtain a rate of convergence in this and related theorems.
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Estimating mixing times via the spectral profile (ps/pdf)

Sharad Goel (Stanford)

Given 52 playing cards, how many shuffles does it take to approximately randomize the deck? More generally, how long does it take a finite Markov chain to get close to its stationary distribution? In this talk, I'll introduce the spectral profile as a tool for proving upper and lower bounds on convergence rates. This approach extends the commonly used spectral gap method, and allows us to recover and refine previous conductance-based estimates of mixing time. I will illustrate how the spectral profile technique is applied in several models, including groups with moderate growth, the fractal-like Viscek graphs, and the torus. This work is joint with Ravi Montenegro and Prasad Tetali.
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The universality classes in the parabolic Anderson model (ps/pdf)

Peter Mörters (Univ. of Bath)

We discuss the Cauchy problem for the spatially discrete heat equation in a random i.i.d. potential with localised initial datum. The emphasis is on the question, which features of the potential distribution influence the qualitative behaviour of the solution of the problem. The talk is based on joint work with Wolfgang Koenig (Leipzig) and Remco van der Hofstad (Eindhoven).
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Importance sampling and differential games (ps/pdf)

Paul Dupuis (Brown)

Importance sampling is a variance reduction technique used to improve the efficiency of Monte Carlo approximation of probabilities and expected values. Under certain law of large numbers scalings, the optimal performance of importance sampling schemes can be characterized by a differential game, or equivalently, in terms of the solution to the related Isaacs equation (a nonlinear PDE).

In this talk, we will describe how subsolutions to the Isaacs equation can be used very effectively in the design and analysis of asymptotically optimal importance sampling schemes. The main ideas are first described for a multi-dimensional version of the level crossing problem studied by Siegmund. We then discuss other classes of problems to which the approach has been applied, including stochastic networks and sums of heavy-tailed random variables.
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A reversible growth model on the homogeneous tree: some results and open questions (ps/pdf)

Amber Puha (CSU San Marcos)

A modified contact process on the homogeneous tree is considered. The modification is to the death rate: an occupied site becomes vacant at rate one if the number of occupied neighbors is at most one. This modification leads to a growth model that is reversible, off the empty set, provided that the initial set of occupied sites is connected. Reversibility admits tools for studying the survival properties of the system not available in a nonreversible situation. The main result is that there is exactly one phase transition and the value of the birth parameter at which the phase transition occurs is explicitly computed. In this talk, we demonstrate how reversibility is exploited to identify the exact location of the phase transition and discuss some directions for further investigation.
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Large deviations for analytic functions with diffusing coefficients (ps/pdf)

Ben Hough (UC Berkeley)

We consider a random analytic function f whose zero set is translationally invariant in the plane. This zero set is amazingly "lattice-like". A recent work of Sodin and Tsirelson shows that it can be matched to a perturbed lattice with Gaussian tails. Moreover, the "hole probability" that a disk of radius R contains no zeros of f decays exponentially in the square of the area of the disk. This asymptotic behavior is also observed in the perturbed lattice model in which lattice points are perturbed by independent complex normal random variables. Allowing the coefficients of f to evolve as independent Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, the zero set evolves as a time homogenous Markov process in the plane. We show that the probability of observing a hole of radius R for time T in the random zero model is exponentially worse than the corresponding probability for the perturbed lattice model in which lattice points evolve as independent Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes.
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